Phillies vs Braves: The Phillies head into this weekends’ series against Atlanta with a 9-game lead in the NL East. With a tough slate of games on the horizon, it’s imperative that the team gets off to a strong start with a couple of wins against their divisional rivals…but it won’t be easy.
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Date: Friday, July 5th
Time: 7:20PM EST
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
TV channel: Apple TV+
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-185) | Atlanta Braves +1.5 (+154)
Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies +114 | Atlanta Braves -135
Total: Over/Under 7.5
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Aaron Nola (9-4, 3.43 ERA ) vs Max Fried (7-3, 2.91 ERA)
As far as pitching matchups go, they don’t get much better than this. Aaron Nola faces off against Max Fried in a real stalemate at the mound. The difference here is that the Phils rank 3rd in batting average (21st in their last 3) while the Braves sit 16th and 11th in their last 3. Philadelphia’s barrage of bats could prove to be problematic if Fried can’t find his best stuff, whereas a depleted Braves lineup might still struggle against Aaron Nola.
Shaun Nestor noted in our series preview that the Braves shouldn’t be judged on their wins and losses alone. Austin Riley holds a .389 average and 1.180 OPS against Aaron Nola and he’s not the only one to have found success against him, with the likes of Marcell Ozuna, Matt Olson, and Adam Duvall all putting up impressive numbers.
While the run total here is low, this could well be one of the most exciting matchups of the week.
The Phillies are underdogs coming into this game and the Braves are 27-16 at home this season. I think this is going to be a tightly contested affair, so I’m going to take the Phils +1.5 in the confidence that this squad is built to handle whatever the Braves can muster.
Betting pick: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
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STATES: AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV. 21 and present in participating states. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. 21 . Physically present in participating state. Eligibility restrictions apply. Valid 1 per new customer. Deposit minimums apply.
AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast
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