Categories: GolfSports

Zurich Classic: Top-5 deep value betting picks

The Zurich Classic is just one day away, meaning today is your last chance to sit down, scout the field, and see if there are any under-the-radar teams who could make you money this weekend. To save you some time and head-scratching, I’ve tried to do the hard work for you!

We cashed last weekend with +6000 longshot Matt Kuchar sneaking into the top-5 with his final putt of the day. We’ll be hoping for similar success this weekend. Here are the five teams in the deep-value range that bring some relative upside.

Joseph Bramlett/ Maverick McNealy

Win: +6000
Top-5: +1000
Top-10: +500

McNealy is rapidly becoming a DFS darling and he’s teaming up with someone who will further complement his game. This is a course that allows for balanced golfers to succeed provided that they can get up and down with relative ease, and have a strong particular skillset. This duo actually rank 4th off the tee and 22nd in tee-to-green, so it’s not like there’s a huge drop off from their tee-shots.

McNealy ranks 7th in Eagles per round, 13th in putting from 14-20 ft, and 20th in birdie or better percentage. There’s definitely value to be had here.

Tyler Duncan/ Adam Schenk

Win: +18000
Top-5: +2200
Top-10: +900

Tyler Duncan was one of our longshots last week and he performed admirably, finishing in T-12.. He’s now teaming up with a player who’s been slumping pretty hard in Adam Schenk, but one who when he gets going with the putter, can be a force to be reckoned with.

With this pairing, you’re betting more on Duncan being able to put Schenk in a position off the tee to capitalize on short putts, where he actually ranks pretty highly. Betting on a win isn’t favorable, but at nearly 10/1 for a top-10, it’s worth a punt.

Denny McCarthy/ Ben Kholes

Win: +13000
Top-5: +1600
Top-10: +750

This is a play based more on historical form here. McCarthy has a 39th and 25th place finish to his name, and recently came 18th at the Valeor Texas Open. Kholes struggles off the tee but is otherwise a pretty neutral player. If McCarthy can make up for that weakness with the driver, they could sneak into the top-10 with some consistency around the greens.

Paul Barjon/ Tom Hoge

Win: +15000
Top-5: +2000
Top-10: +800

Hoge has gained strokes across the majority of areas over the last 48 rounds and actually ranks 14th in tee-to-green. Barjon has been a pretty neutral player whose main strength is off the tee. This, coincided with Hoge’s identical strength, should give them a chance to come swooping in for some Eagle and birdie chances on par-5’s.

Brian Stuard/ Russell Knox

Win: +9000
Top-5: +1200
Top-10: +600

Stuard has three top-30 finishes here in the last four years and was red-hot before a pair of recent missed cuts. What better way to rekindle that fire than to team up with a golfer who ranks 12th in tee-to-green, 9th on approach, and has a top-10 and a top-25 finish in two of his last three entries here?