Hopefully, we can keep up with Eric Samulski and finish out this week of MLB picks on a high note after a strong showing so far — and what better way to do so than with Sunday baseball.
Below, we take you through today’s 15-game schedule and the odds for each matchup along with the starting pitchers and some picks that should help you not only enjoy the game but think about how you want to bet the game — if that’s something you want to do.
Remember, you don’t HAVE to bet on each game. We are giving you our best bets for every game, but if our analysis isn’t landing with you or you just don’t feel like a bet stands out, it’s fine to give that game a pass. There will always be more games to bet on.
Also, we recommend checking the Fangraphs Probables Grid to see the likely starting pitchers from each game with clickable links to get the most in-depth information on each pitcher.
Two of the seven worst offenses in MLB finish out their series after a total of seven runs have been scored between the two teams over the first two games of this set. Maybe things change with two high-ERA guys on the mound today.
The Twins (3.16 ERA) and Rays (3.18 ERA) rank seventh and eighth respectively in team pitching this season. However, they’ve been cracked open once over the first two games of the series. Tampa put up six on Minnesota on Friday before the Twins returned the favor in a 9-1 drubbing on Saturday.
The Padres’ fifth-ranked offense (4.73 runs per game) has scored 13 times over their first two against Pittsburgh. Yet the series is at 1-1 despite Pirates pitching ranking second-worst in MLB.
Houston’s below-average offense misfired on Saturday, scoring just one time after posting 11 on Toronto the night before. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are hovering around the league average in both runs per game and ERA this season — a slow start for many World Series picks, but they’re still winning games.
The Marlins have the sixth-best pitching stable in baseball with a team ERA of 3.10 this season. The Mariners aren’t far behind at 10th, and we have another stellar pitching matchup on deck today.
The Angels have the fourth-best offense in baseball so far this season (4.73 runs per game) while the injury-riddled White Sox have the sixth-worst unit.
The Yankees can’t stop winning behind the No. 3 scoring offense and No. 2 pitching staff (2.70 ERA) in baseball. Kansas City has the third-worst offense and seventh-worst team ERA.
Cubs pitching has hindered their start to the 2021 season with a team ERA of 4.55 (T-6th worst). The Brewers have the fifth-best team ERA in baseball, headlining a solid start to support the league’s No. 12 offense.
The Diamondbacks have gotten good pitching (3.28 ERA) but their offense is second-worst in the league with 3.09 runs per game. Yet they’ve taken two of three from the Cardinals, who have scored twice in their last two games.
The defending champs rank in MLB’s bottom-12 in both pitching and offense. Ronald Acuna Jr.’s return should add a spark, though. They were held to just one run on Saturday despite the Rangers’ fifth-worst team ERA of 4.57 this season.
The Reds have the fourth-worst offense and the worst pitching staff in baseball, which is no wonder why they’ve won just three of their first 21. The Rockies have the fourth-worst team ERA this season but are tied for the eighth-best offense.
Washington ranks in the bottom eight in pitching and scoring, but they managed to put up 14 against San Francisco on Friday. The Giants have the fourth-best team ERA in baseball and the top-scoring offense — and they found their form on Saturday in a 9-3 win.
The Guardians keep scoring with an offense tied eighth-best in baseball but their team ERA of 3.91 is ninth-worst. The Athletics are staying in the .500 hunt despite scoring 3.86 runs per game.
The Dodgers have a MLB-leading 2.29 ERA this season and they rank second with 4.80 runs scored per game, but they came up empty in a 5-1 loss on Saturday night to the Tigers.
Mets pitching continues to shine with a 2.85 team ERA, which is third best in MLB. That’s more than one run better than the Phillies’ 3.85 mark. Philadelphia exacted some revenge from being no-hit on Friday, though, getting to the Mets bullpen in a 5-1 win.
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